Serving the High Plains
Serving the High Plains
“If you want to make God laugh,” Woody Allen once famously said, paraphrasing a Yiddish proverb, “tell him about your plans.”
That’s not an issue for President Donald Trump, at least not on healthcare.
He’s been promising a healthcare plan since he started running for president, often with superlative adjectives attached, and yet never produced one. His lack of a proposal was a stumbling block in Tuesday’s debate and plays into a broader, long-standing Republican vulnerability on healthcare.
Polling tends to show that, far and away, the three most important issues to voters are the economy, COVID-19 and healthcare. Trump leads on the economy and trails on the other two. To the extent that issues play a role in a Trump defeat in November, healthcare will have had some hand in it, and he’s done little to inoculate himself, in fact has further exposed himself.
His administration backs a lawsuit that seeks to strike down Obamacare, including its popular protections for people with preexisting conditions. This allows Democrats to say — and they say it all the time — that he wants to destroy Obamacare.
Never mind that the suit is very unlikely to succeed. The background is that in a previous case, the Supreme Court upheld the individual mandate in Obamacare as a tax. Then, Congress zeroed out the tax. The current case argues that the individual mandate therefore can no longer be upheld as a tax, and further — this is the real stretch — that if this now toothless mandate is thrown out, then the rest of the law has to go as well. There’s no reason to believe that the conservative justices would undertake this legal adventure.
This makes the politics a worst-of-both-worlds scenario for the White House. By backing the suit, it opens itself up to the attack prior to the election that it will eliminate protections for preexisting conditions, without having any realistic chance of winning when the Court takes up the case after the election.
It would help at least to have a plan, and that’s Trump’s instinct. But his supposedly imminent healthcare plan has become as meaningful as the various versions of “infrastructure week.”
Coming up with a healthcare plan is not like, say, promising to create 10 million jobs, a pledge that would depend on circumstances not fully under any president’s control. Drafting one, at bottom, requires only a consensus among some wonks, a word processor and a printer.
No one would have bet at the outset that the administration would have in hand two historic Middle East agreements — namely, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain normalizing relations with Israel — before having one healthcare plan. But here we are.
The president is more populist, both in manner and substance, than his Republican predecessors. But healthcare is an area where his populism is insufficiently realized. Seeking to repeal Obamacare without bothering to tell people how it’s going to be improved on is what you’d expect from a stereotypical Republican.
God might scoff, but it’d be better to have a plan.
Rich Lowry can be reached at: